Juan Soto is poised to dominate the Chicago Cubs with a promising matchup against Edward Cabrera, making his over 1.5 total bases prop an attractive bet.
What's the matchup?
The New York Mets slugger draws a poorly-rated matchup in both ISO and hard contact, while Soto enters with an elite Batters-Box rating.
Soto has an 80% arsenal coverage and strong historical trends, recording a hit 76% of the time and clearing this prop in 43% of his 96 elite-rated home matchups.
Recent performance
Over his last 30 plate appearances against right-handed pitching, Soto is batting .435 with a .913 SLG and a 1.480 OPS, producing a 58% hard-hit rate and a 10.5% barrel rate.
Cabrera has been getting torched by left-handed hitters, allowing a 49% hard-hit rate, a 9.3% barrel rate, and a 59% elevation rate over his last 60 batters faced.
Why it matters for Juan Soto
This is a great spot for a hitter with elite arsenal coverage against a pitch mix that grades 68% below league average, and a batter who has been all over everything coming over the plate lately.
The game is set to start at 7:10 p.m. ET and can be watched on SNY and Marquee.
Soto's recent tear and favorable matchup make his over 1.5 total bases prop a great bet, with value to be had at +113.
What comes next?
Take this prop down to even money for the best value, as Soto is likely to continue his strong performance against Cabrera and the Cubs.
With his elite rating and strong historical trends, Soto is a great bet to go over 1.5 total bases in this matchup.
The Mets slugger has been on fire lately, and this game is a great opportunity for him to continue his success.